10 Drivers With Best Odds To Win NASCAR Cup Series Race At Dover

After trips to Chicago and Sonoma, where Shane Van Gisbergen dominated, the NASCAR Cup Series returns to its traditional roots on the oval at Dover Motor Speedway this weekend. We’re counting down the drivers with the best chances to roll into victory lane on Sunday.

Denny Hamlin dominated en route to victory one year ago at Dover Motor Speedway. This week, Hamlin returns to Dover as the leader of our latest power rankings.

But Hamlin will have plenty of competition if he wants to go back-to-back at the track. We’re counting down the drivers with the best odds to win Sunday’s NASCAR Cup Series race.

T10) Alex Bowman and Kyle Busch - +2200

Neither Alex Bowman nor Kyle Busch have a victory this season, so a win at Dover would be a huge step toward locking themselves into the NASCAR Cup Series playoffs.

Busch led 41 laps at Dover a year ago en route to a fourth-place finish, while Bowman was the runner-up in stage two and eventually finished ninth.

Both have a history of success at the track, with Busch winning three times and Bowman winning in 2021 in addition to three other top-five finishes.

9) Chase Briscoe - +1600

Unlike Busch and Bowman, Briscoe does not have a history of success at Dover. In fact, he’s never finished in the top 10 in four attempts at the track.

But Martin Truex led 69 laps and finished third a year ago in the 19 car, which Briscoe now occupies. So maybe a change of teams and a crew chief in James Small, who has had success at the track, will lead to better results this time around.

T7) Ross Chastain - +1200

Chastain was solid, yet unspectacular, at Dover in 2024. He ran in the top 15 for much of the day and brought home a 12th-place finish.

But in the two years before that, Chastain led a combined 184 laps at the track and brought home finishes of second and third, so it’s clear he knows how to get around the place pretty well.

Add that to Chastain’s lengthy history of success on concrete tracks, and there’s plenty of reason to believe he could provide good value for your money here.

T7) Tyler Reddick - +1200

Somehow, Tyler Reddick still does not have a win in 2025. But things have been trending in the right direction of late.

Reddick ran inside the top 10 for much of the race last year before ultimately coming home in 11th. But Dover has proven to be a mixed bag for him in the past.

In six races at the track, Reddick’s best finish was seventh in 2023, and he has an average finish of just 14.5.

T5) Christopher Bell +1000

In recent years, Bell has been a threat to win on almost any track that the NASCAR Cup Series goes to.

But Dover has proven to be an exception to that rule for the most part. He ran outside the top 10 for much of last year’s race before a late-race crash saw him finish 34th.

Bell finished in sixth in 2023 and fourth in 2022, so it’s not like he’s totally lost at the track, but his average finish of 19th in six races at Dover is one of the worst at any track on the calendar.

T5) Chase Elliott - +1000

On the flip side of Christopher Bell is Chase Elliott, who has run extremely well at Dover since his very first Cup Series race at the track.

Elliott has two wins at the circuit and nine career top-five finishes in 14 starts. He finished fifth a year ago despite a 29th-place starting spot, and outside of two DNFs, Elliott’s average finish at the track is an incredible 4.7.

If you’re looking for a potential favorite this week without technically having favorite odds, Elliott is your guy.

4) William Byron - +750

Elliott’s teammate, William Byron, has had up-and-down results at Dover. He has three fourth-placed finishes in his last five starts at the track, but those are sandwiched around a 33rd-place finish and a 22nd-place finish.

However, Byron led 36 laps at the track a year ago before a late-race crash with Bubba Wallace and Christopher Bell ended his day early.

Byron got his season back on track a week ago at Sonoma. Can he carry that momentum over into this weekend’s race?

3) Ryan Blaney - +700

Blaney has not yet won at Dover in his career, but he led 47 laps a year ago before finishing seventh. The year prior, he started the race in third and finished both stages as well as the race in the same position.

So it’s abundantly clear he knows how to get around the track. While his resume on the whole at Dover is solid, it doesn’t exactly scream race-winning pace.

This may be one where you decide the fade Blaney if you’re looking either for a little more value or a bit more of a sure thing.

T1) Kyle Larson - +500

Like Elliott, Larson has been fantastic at Dover throughout his career. While he only has one win at the track on his resume, Larson has eight top-five finishes, including four runner-up finishes.

One of those runner-up finishes came a year ago, when he led 39 laps and pushed Hamlin for the victory throughout much of the final stage.

Even at just +500, Larson presents some pretty good value here, and at +120 to finish in the top-three, he offers you a solid alternative option as well.

T1) Denny Hamlin - +500

Denny Hamlin is good pretty much everywhere. But with two wins, eight top-fives and 16 top-10s, it’s safe to say Hamlin is really good around Dover.

His average finish is hampered a bit by a four-race stretch of DNFs early in his career at the track, but Hamlin has led more than 50 laps in four of his last seven stops at the track, including over 100 laps and two victories in three of those races.

Last year, Hamlin led a race-high 136 laps en route to the victory. While Larson and others are a serious threat, it’s no surprise to see Hamlin atop these odds.